{"id":68711,"date":"2023-06-05T06:00:47","date_gmt":"2023-06-05T10:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/the-american-birth-rate-is-plummeting-but-not-in-some-states-68711"},"modified":"2023-06-05T06:00:47","modified_gmt":"2023-06-05T10:00:47","slug":"the-american-birth-rate-is-plummeting-but-not-in-some-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/the-american-birth-rate-is-plummeting-but-not-in-some-states-68711","title":{"rendered":"The American birth rate is plummeting, but not in some states"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

The Wall Street Journal\u00a0ran a story on May 26 noting that “The U.S. birth rate is down sharply from 15 years ago, as women report that economic and social obstacles are causing them to have fewer children than they want.”\u00a0<\/p>\n

The reasons cited in the piece focused on the material: the inability to afford a house<\/a> while repaying student loans, men lacking earning power compared to the female cohort, and women being better educated than men. And the teen birth rate has dropped 78% since its peak in 1991 due to greater access to contraception.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But a low birth rate has significant negative implications for national viability \u2013 not only does a low birth rate jeopardize pension systems such as Social Security, but it\u2019s also a drag on the economy. The article cited President Joe Biden<\/a> as proposing paid family leave, subsidized child care, and federally funded preschool as ways to convince people to have more children.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Yet looking to the states, there are massive differences in the\u00a0birth rate among women 15 to 44 years in 2021. Women in No. 1 South Dakota bore almost 53% more babies per capita than their peers in last place Vermont.\u00a0<\/p>\n

US BIRTH RATE HELD STEADY IN 2022 BELOW PRE-COVID LEVELS, WOMEN HAVING BABIES AT OLDER AGE: CDC<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

What explains the difference? Biden and much of the left would offer a material explanation: women don\u2019t have children<\/a> because they can\u2019t afford to and they can\u2019t find child care.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But a\u00a0national ranking of child care that compares cost as a share of income, availability and quality finds a modestly negative correlation to child care: of the seven states with the lowest natality, six of them are in the top 10 best states for child care.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Similarly, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis,\u00a0Real Personal Income, a measure of income that looks at a state\u2019s cost of living, shows no meaningful statistical connection to the birth rate, with the trendline slightly negative \u2013 meaning those states with higher income have slightly lower birth rates.\u00a0<\/p>\n

There are, however, three factors that statistically predict higher birth rates: a\u00a0state\u2019s cost of living (a lower cost of living associated with a higher birth rate); the share of residents who\u00a0seldom or never attend religious services (with a lower connection to organized religion associated with lower birth rates); and the 2020 vote for Joe Biden (with states that gave Biden the largest share having the lowest birth rates). Of all the factors, the vote for Biden was the strongest predictor of a low birth rate.<\/p>\n

Of course, with statistics we always have to be cautious about linking correlation to causation.\u00a0<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE TO GET THE OPINION NEWSLETTER<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

That said, it is fascinating to consider the focus on material things among many policymakers. Birth rate too low? Subsidize having babies and support parents<\/a> while they have young children. Yet this, as with all government programs, comes at a cost that must be paid in higher taxes, greater deficit spending (that must be paid back eventually), or a combination of both.<\/p>\n

Alternatively, states with a low cost of living are largely those with a red state governance model \u2013 states with a light regulatory touch and low taxes. Relatedly, the cost of living in a state is mostly determined by the cost of housing while the cost of housing is significantly affected by\u00a0restrictive land use regulations.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Further, Americans who look to government to help them tend not to have many children. This stands in contrast to Americans who take personal responsibility or look for support from their families<\/a> and their congregations.<\/p>\n

This latter fact \u2013 and it is a fact \u2013 that faith, a conservative mindset<\/a>, and a low cost of living found mainly in red states are associated with family formation, confounds many politicians. Far better for them that they can propose policies formulated by their staffs and allied special interest groups, run for office with a promise to enact those policies, and \u2013 when they don\u2019t work as advertised \u2013 demand more spending on those government programs while demonizing any opposition that dare question their effectiveness.<\/p>\n

The solution to higher, societally healthier birth rates appears not to involve much government at all.\u00a0<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM CHUCK DEVORE<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/american-birth-rate-plummeting-not-some-states <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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