{"id":55279,"date":"2023-02-05T12:41:31","date_gmt":"2023-02-05T17:41:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/reporters-notebook-does-the-near-death-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal-mean-the-end-of-diplomacy-55279"},"modified":"2023-02-05T12:41:31","modified_gmt":"2023-02-05T17:41:31","slug":"reporters-notebook-does-the-near-death-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal-mean-the-end-of-diplomacy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/reporters-notebook-does-the-near-death-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal-mean-the-end-of-diplomacy-55279","title":{"rendered":"Reporter’s Notebook: Does the near death of the Iran nuclear deal mean the end of diplomacy?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Former President Trump dumped the Iran nuclear deal in 2018 because he thought it was “horrible.”\u00a0President Biden <\/a>tried to pick up the pieces, believing the broken accord was the best chance at keeping Tehran from building a nuclear weapon on the sly.\u00a0Iran wanted back in for the sanctions relief that would come with a fresh accord. <\/p>\n

There have been loads of meetings between the international parties involved to revive the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)<\/a> over the last few years and the sides got very close to re-negotiating an agreement to keep Iran\u2019s nuclear program from spinning out of control.\u00a0Then, finally, the momentum died.\u00a0The deal has unofficially been declared dead.\u00a0So what happened?<\/p>\n

“I think basically Iran decided they weren\u2019t that interested in it,” Mark Fitzpatrick, an associate fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), tells Fox News.\u00a0“Compromises were made that met their bottom lines and then they added new bottom lines.”\u00a0<\/p>\n

Fitzpatrick said the U.S. had grudgingly accepted a final text and then Iran wanted guarantees that no future United States president could break the deal as Trump did, which, Fitzpatrick said, is something Biden would not have the power to do.\u00a0Also, Fitzpatrick adds, Tehran wanted the United Nations\u2019 nuclear watchdog the IAEA<\/a> to call off its investigation into Iran\u2019s past nuclear development work and agree not to start any new digging around. The U.S. would not and could not, Fitzpatrick says, agree to fetter the IAEA.\u00a0<\/p>\n

REPORTER’S NOTEBOOK: THE AYATOLLAH\u2019S OFF-RAMP?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Mohammad Marandi was an adviser to Iran\u2019s nuclear negotiating team.\u00a0He believes the Europeans at the table thought Iran\u2019s demands were reasonable, but that U.S. politics again destroyed the deal.\u00a0<\/p>\n

“The problem,” he tells Fox News from Tehran, “is that the White House didn\u2019t show political will before the midterm elections. They were afraid that the Republicans and their opponents would say that Biden has given away too many concessions to the Iranians and that Biden is weak and that would hurt them during elections\u2026 I don\u2019t even know if Biden is in charge in the White House,” he said.\u00a0“But whoever is needs to make a decision.”<\/p>\n

But that decision has been made.\u00a0The White House<\/a> has confirmed the president is not seeking to pursue progress on the deal anytime soon. Iran\u2019s brutal crackdown on protesters since September and its sale of drones to Russia for use in Ukraine seem to have put the final nail in the JCPOA\u2019s coffin.\u00a0Even if Iran had dropped its final demands, Fitzpatrick believes, it would be too late.\u00a0<\/p>\n

“I don\u2019t think President Biden could have done a deal with a regime that was killing its own people and then soon after that was shown to have been sending drones to Russia that were killing Ukrainian civilians,”\u00a0Fitzpatrick said. “And there\u2019s a bunch of other stuff Iran was doing that just made it unpalatable to do a deal with them.”<\/p>\n

Marandi toes the Iranian government line that the protests<\/a> are violent “riots” and disputes the widely reported death toll of more than 500, including dozens of children.\u00a0His figures contradict what the White House and the West overall believe to be true, and he slams the United States for its criticism of the Iranian regime’s crackdown.<\/p>\n

IRAN SENTENCES THREE MORE PROTESTERS TO DEATH FOR ‘WAGING WAR ON GOD’ DESPITE GLOBAL CRITICISM<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

“Iranian internal affairs have nothing to do with the United States and the nuclear deal.\u00a0And the negotiations for restarting the nuclear deal are not linked to any other issue, whether it\u2019s defense capabilities or regional politics or Iranian internal politics.\u00a0And the United States, if it is concerned about police brutality, should look closer to home.”<\/p>\n

Fitzpatrick says there is no comparison, noting that the United States is publicly grappling with the issue of policy brutality, while Iran\u2019s situation is quite different. “It\u2019s not like the federal government (of the U.S.) is sending morality police to beat up women and then other police to beat up peaceful protesters.\u00a0Iran has killed 71 children in its crackdown.”<\/p>\n

This gives a flavor for what must have gone on in those rooms in Vienna, where nuclear talks more often than not took place. Fitzpatrick says Iran\u2019s leaders, despite the talk of wanting sanctions relief, may, in the end, actually be quite happy where they are.\u00a0<\/p>\n

“I think one of the reasons Iran is not interested in the deal is because the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps<\/a>, the IRGC, benefits from sanctions when the sanctions drive private businesses out,”\u00a0Fitzpatrick said. “The IRGC, as a state organization, can take over trade and they can impose their own tax, hidden or not.\u00a0So what\u2019s in it for them to go back to a deal where they lose their trade and more avenues of power?”<\/p>\n

Fitzpatrick thinks the JCPOA, while not perfect, was a good deal and contained Iran\u2019s nuclear program, buying some time until perhaps a better solution could be found.\u00a0Buying time, he says, is also policy.\u00a0Marandi, at least on the face of it, also seems to believe that a deal is worth doing.\u00a0<\/p>\n

But as that looks unlikely,\u00a0Iran\u2019s partners in the deal are at a crossroads where there is no tangible or effective Iran policy other than deterrence by the ominous warning that “all options are on the table” to keep Iran from one day building a bomb.\u00a0But, Fitzpatrick concludes, above all it is important that diplomacy in this story dies last, even if the JCPOA has flatlined.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/world\/reporters-notebook-does-near-death-iran-nuclear-deal-mean-end-diplomacy <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Former President Trump dumped the Iran nuclear deal in 2018 because he thought it was “horrible.”\u00a0President Biden tried to pick up the pieces, believing the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-55279","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nReporter's Notebook: Does the near death of the Iran nuclear deal mean the end of diplomacy? - Wall Street PR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/reporters-notebook-does-the-near-death-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal-mean-the-end-of-diplomacy-55279\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Reporter's Notebook: Does the near death of the Iran nuclear deal mean the end of diplomacy? 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