{"id":42138,"date":"2019-08-21T08:43:19","date_gmt":"2019-08-21T12:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/?p=42138"},"modified":"2019-08-21T09:53:44","modified_gmt":"2019-08-21T13:53:44","slug":"junior-miner-osceola-gold-otcosci-readies-for-full-scale-production-with-nearly-4b-in-reserves","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/junior-miner-osceola-gold-otcosci-readies-for-full-scale-production-with-nearly-4b-in-reserves-42138","title":{"rendered":"Junior Miner Osceola Gold (OTC:OSCI) Readies for Full Scale Production with Nearly $4B in Reserves"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Junior Miner Osceola Gold (OTC: OSCI) Readies for Full Scale Production with Nearly $4B in Reserves<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Fully permitted mine with equipment mobilized and imminent operations<\/li>\n<li>World ranked junior miner with highest quality ore of 15 g\/t<\/li>\n<li>$3.93 billion in reserves<\/li>\n<li>Grossly undervalued &#8211; tenth of reserves represents $.56\/share<\/li>\n<li>Low floater<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42148\" src=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2121\" height=\"1414\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold1.png 2121w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold1-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold1-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold1-1024x683.png 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2121px) 100vw, 2121px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>This is a cute TRUE story but by the end of this report you are going to feel like you are the thief that stole the nugget.\u00a0 This stock story is that good.\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>In 1877 a prospector named Darling found a massive 24 pound nugget on the Verzan claim in Dry Gulch which is only 2 miles away from the existing Osceola mine. Darling had been working for Verzan only two hours when he drove his pick into the dirt and could not pull it out. He glanced around to see that no one was looking and then he began to dig in the gravel with his hands. Upon catching a glimpse of the great nugget, he immediately covered it again, working to loosen the pick and went on digging elsewhere. At the end of the day he drew his pay from Verzan and that night made off with the nugget. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>He was a remorseful thief and met with Verzan a couple days later on the streets of Ward which was an old mining town near Ely.\u00a0 He invited Darling to have a drink and upon sitting down, Darling began to cry, confessing that he had stolen the Nugget. Verzan, feeling sympathetic, was about to promise forgiveness when Darling reached into his shirt and pulled out 14 bars of gold. He had had the record breaking nugget melted down by assayers in Ward.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Osceola Gold Corporation (OSCI) ended its prolonged market silence with an explosion of news that has yet to fully resonate with investors.\u00a0 Over the past 2 years there were bits and pieces of development on the mine posted and shared on Facebook and Twitter but this announcement eclipsed all postings with actionable news and data.\u00a0 In the past, the postings included mobilization of equipment on site and infrastructure investments in support buildings and specialized equipment.\u00a0 In addition there were test runs that appeared to produce results but no formal announcement from the company with regard to the quality of the pay dirt until now.\u00a0 In the latest release the company indicated that \u201cthe tests conducted by Silver State Analytical \u2026 yielded an average of 5 grams per ton processed.\u201d\u00a0 Management is clearly taking an overly conservative approach to the story, but the massive reserves accessible to mine have been verified for decades by 3 independent surveys.\u00a0 The conclusion is simple.\u00a0 There\u2019s billions of gold on the claim and they are ready to mine it.\u00a0 This is actionable news.\u00a0 Investors will also see in this analysis that from a value perspective this is the most undervalued junior miner in the world and has the highest quality ore of any junior miner coming in at 15 g\/t.<\/p>\n<p><strong>High Quality Pay Dirt<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>According to Mining.com, gold pay dirt is reported in grams per tonne (g\/t) and works out to $45 per gram assuming the current spot price of gold is $1400 per ounce.\u00a0 High-grade gold is classified as anything over 2 grams per tonne for bulk tonnage mining.\u00a0 The pay dirt at the Osceola Mine is well above the threshold for high quality pay dirt.\u00a0 The other factor to consider is the thickness of the pay dirt.\u00a0 A good thickness is about 100 meters deep.\u00a0 For the past 2 years there has been little to no official statements from Osceola Gold regarding the quality of the pay dirt.\u00a0 All investors have been able glean on Facebook are large nuggets that were pulled out of the dirt and a series of starts and stops, in addition to the numerous challenges of maintaining a cohesive crew looking to build a productive operation.<\/p>\n<p>It is abundantly clear that pay dirt was \u201cprocessed\u201d during this period, but not reported until now.\u00a0 The average yield on the processed pay dirt was 5 g\/t which includes the processing of pay dirt during periods where the crews experience everything from frozen pipes to a broken shaker screen.\u00a0\u00a0 The key takeaway is that these tests were under very harsh conditions and that there may be considerable upside to the yield once operations begin.\u00a0 The company commissioned a survey from Geo Scan in June 2016 which unveiled concentrations up to <strong>15 g\/t<\/strong>.\u00a0 To give investors perspective look at the Aurelian Resource expel which had intercepts of 216 meters of 12.8 g\/t in its Fruta Del Norte Deposit in Ecuador, which is currently owned by Lundin Gold (FTMNF).\u00a0 On the news the stock shot from $2.00 to $22.00.\u00a0 The extreme grade and thickness of the pay dirt played a major factor in valuation.\u00a0 No premium in terms of market capitalization seems to be given for this high quality paydirt.<\/p>\n<p>A Komatsu 380 front loader can normally scoop 6 yards of dirt into a bucket.\u00a0 Each yard of ore normally represent 1.5 tons.\u00a0 This means 6 yards in a bucket equates to 9 tons with each scoop.\u00a0 At 1 g\/t a bucket is worth $405 ($45 x 9 tons).\u00a0 At the Osceola mine the worst case scenario for a bucket of ore is 5 g\/t which means each scoop of the front loader is worth $2025! On the high end or 15 g\/t each scoop could be worth as much as $6075.\u00a0 At full scale production the company estimated 100 tons per hour which is equivalent to 11 scoops per hour.\u00a0 Using the worst case scenario yield of 5 g\/t that equates to $22,500 per hour when they are at full scale production.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42139\" src=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/char-above.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"963\" height=\"535\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/char-above.jpg 963w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/char-above-300x167.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/char-above-768x427.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 963px) 100vw, 963px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Using the chart above reveals worst case and best case production level through some simple multiplication.\u00a0 Assuming 5 g\/t and a 240 hour month simple take 1200 g and multiply by $45.\u00a0 So on the low end it ranges from $54,000 monthly up to $486,000 at max capacity.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42140\" src=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/core-drill.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"726\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/core-drill.png 750w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/core-drill-300x290.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Gold Content<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A geological report revealed that sizeable gold content exits and gold production in this area could be traced back to 1875.\u00a0 This production continued on an off until 1975.\u00a0 Just 12 miles down the road at a claim called dry gulch a miner found a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nps.gov\/grba\/learn\/historyculture\/the-osceola-ditch.htm\">24 pound nugget<\/a> which would be worth over $400,000 today.\u00a0 Adjusting the <a href=\"https:\/\/static1.squarespace.com\/static\/588035debebafb315a5962a8\/t\/588682128419c212002bf42b\/1485210144125\/Summary+Report.pdf\">Skookum Geological Report<\/a> from 2010 into the current gold price investors can extrapolate the revised value of the reserves. In addition recent mining revealed the stratigraphy from the MAV #5-H claim contains gold from the surface to the bedrock.\u00a0 The reports also indicates that the average yield in the Solomon#3 was over double the other claims.\u00a0 The claims can be broken up into 3 districts, the Mary Canyon, MAV 5, and the Solomon claims.<\/p>\n<p>The formal study done by the Skookum Geological Report was taken and readjusted to $1400 gold price in the graphic above and uncovered a high probability of gold that measures $1.68 billion.\u00a0 The overburden is estimated at just 10 \u2013 30 feet before the paydirt is uncovered making this a simple earthmoving project.\u00a0 Even though there is no feasibility study, the technical mining plan is clear and straightforward.\u00a0 The satellite photos clearly define the placer channels and the alluvial fan.\u00a0 The company will scoop up the pay dirt in these channels process it through the washplant and recover the gold.\u00a0 The gold being recovered is close to 20 karat quality and through improved mining methods up to 90% of the gold can be recovered.\u00a0 With a current production capacity of only 100 tons per hour and assuming non-stop production, it would take approximately 32 years to go through just the Mary Canyon region.\u00a0 Based on this pace it\u2019s reasonable to assume the company will quickly ramp up production to expand operations saving investors from a costly round of dilution.<\/p>\n<p>Note: Placer Deposits do not fit the traditional definition of gold reserves<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42142\" src=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1485\" height=\"780\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold.jpg 1485w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/Gold-1024x538.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1485px) 100vw, 1485px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Junior Miner Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There are 3 primary data points to look at when evaluating a junior mining company.\u00a0 The most important factor is the measured and indicated reserves known as proven and probable reserves.\u00a0 These reserves are calculated by a geologist and approximate the number of ounces that could be recovered if mining operations commenced.\u00a0 The next factor investors want to consider is the longevity of the project after they mine out the proven reserves.\u00a0 This is essentially the estimated or inferred reserves that the geologist can reasonably estimate from the core samples and geology.\u00a0 The final element is the quality of the ore.\u00a0 The higher the quality of ore, the less risk that the mine will be shut down due to low commodity pricing.\u00a0 This is why it\u2019s essential to look at the grade of the ore and the cost of extraction when evaluating the risk.\u00a0 Placer deposits typically enjoy the lowest cost of gold production and can weather any commodity cycle and therefore have the lowest risk profile.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42144\" src=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/CAPEX.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1430\" height=\"744\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/CAPEX.jpg 1430w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/CAPEX-300x156.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/CAPEX-768x400.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/CAPEX-1024x533.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1430px) 100vw, 1430px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Capital Expenditures (CAPEX) Correlate to Risk of Dilution<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Planned CAPEX plays a major role in evaluating the potential dilutive impact to the stock price.\u00a0 A very high CAPEX means that a lot of money will need to be raised in the future to get the mine operational.\u00a0 A low CAPEX traditionally means that it will take less fundraising to get the mine operational.\u00a0 There are instances however when a low CAPEX is not good.\u00a0 For example, if the company isn\u2019t investing in technology to extract the metal more efficiently, then that could pose a risk to the company.\u00a0 The highest CAPEX project among the junior miners is the Livengood project.\u00a0 That mine will usurp a large amount of funding even though the project contains massive reserves.\u00a0 The other drag on the Livengood project is the relatively low quality of the ore.\u00a0 In contrast to the Livengood project the Osceola project has virtually no CAPEX risk and is essentially operational.\u00a0 The Osceola project also enjoys the benefit of a high quality ore making it one of safest projects to invest in because the risk of dilution is so minimal.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-42146\" src=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/valuation.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1430\" height=\"750\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/valuation.jpg 1430w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/valuation-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/valuation-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/08\/valuation-1024x537.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1430px) 100vw, 1430px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Valuation <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>One way to evaluate the miners is to normalize their market cap with respect to the size of their reserves.\u00a0 This ratio in effect reveals if the miner is either undervalued or overvalued.\u00a0 The glaring standout on the Gold Miners valuation chart is the Fruta del Norte mine which appears to be grossly overvalued but adjustments must be made due to its high quality of ore.\u00a0 Only OSCI contains a higher level of ore than the Fruta del Norte mine.\u00a0 <strong>By all measures the Osceola mine is the most undervalued property in the sector.<\/strong>\u00a0 Investors need to be wary of using this ratio without remembering to factor in the quality of the ore.\u00a0 The Toroparu mine might look like a steal because it has great reserves and the market cap is low in comparison but that the mines ore grade is low and the mining plan involves a huge capital expense which is likely to result in dilution.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Future Catalysts for Osceola<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The next catalyst should be an announcement that production has started or a corporate update about production plans.\u00a0 Based on the last press release they increased their surety bond to 497,433.\u00a0 A surety bond is used to cover the state\u2019s cost of reclamation in case the mining company, in this case Osceola Gold, defaults on its reclamation obligations.\u00a0 This money is held in trust by the state while the mine is operational.\u00a0 Payment of their Surety bond is required for them to have a valid mining permit.\u00a0 The next corporate update should give more refined projections and details of their plan.\u00a0 After production has commenced it\u2019s customary to give periodic updates regarding the throughput of the mining operation and the corresponding gold production giving investor an idea of yield.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Market Structure<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The company is pink current with 298 million shares authorized and has 297 million outstanding which is 1 million shares to their authorized limit.\u00a0 The company has no structured debt.\u00a0 Recent financing seems to have been accomplished in off balance sheet transactions at $.01 that raised close to $116,000.\u00a0 Based on the recent update this money was spent to get the mine fully permitted and operational.\u00a0 With cash flow right around the corner it\u2019s not expect that the company would increase the share count or enter into any dilutive financing arrangements.\u00a0 It\u2019s more likely that they will fund expansion out of existing cash flow.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Risks<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Besides the clearly operation risk of placer gold production this story has a little hair on it.\u00a0 In 2016 they got into a litigation with Securities Counselors, their former attorney.\u00a0 Reading the disclosure is like reading an epic tale of he said she said.\u00a0 The punch line is that they have a settlement agreement, but it\u2019s not in writing and hasn\u2019t been recorded with the court.\u00a0 So it\u2019s too early to sound the all clear, but the clouds have surely parted.\u00a0 They also had a cease and desist on their mining activities.\u00a0 Given their remote location and one active claim almost in the center of their claim this boils down to a nosey neighbor situation.\u00a0 In the latest press release they announced the cease and desist was lifted after they \u201ccompleted all the requirements necessary to be in compliance with the Nevada Department of Environmental Protection (NDEP) and the Bureau of Land Management (BLM).\u201d\u00a0 This means that the tip from the nosey neighbor wasn\u2019t valid and that they are now operational and should be for some time.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Investment Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There is a lot of gold in the ground, a fully permitted mine, and a plan and workforce to mine it.\u00a0 The current $12 million market capitalization covers on a conservative basis two years of operating profits.\u00a0\u00a0 Without taking into account the billions of dollars\u2019 worth of ore the stock is trading at a multiple of 2 times extremely conservative earnings estimates.\u00a0 The estimated value of the ore ranges between $1.68 to $3.93 billion.\u00a0 The stock is trading at a 99% discount to its most conservative asset value. \u00a0This stock is very illiquid with a big spread, but is probably one of the most tightly held public companies.\u00a0 \u00a0There are very few shares in the float.\u00a0 Reasonable estimates place the floating number of shares under 2 million out of the 298 million shares issued.\u00a0 This low floater means that this stock could be very volatile if it gets any institutional interest.\u00a0 The expected beginning production should be close to 2000 grams per month which represents $90,000 per month at a yield of 7.5 g\/t.<\/p>\n<p>As the crews get comfortable with the operations and work out the production kinks it\u2019s reasonable to think that production could double and the grade or ore could increase.\u00a0 Within 6 \u2013 9 months the plant should be operating round the clock and the cash flow should support the expansion of production in the form of a larger wash plant.\u00a0 This gold mine is a very special find.\u00a0 It is completely derisked and has mining equipment in place and contains some of the highest quality ore of all the junior miners.<\/p>\n<p>If the stock trades at a 90% discount to the estimated amount of gold content on the property the stock target price should be $.56.\u00a0 Given the recent positive price action in the gold market and the almost pristine quality of the ore the long-term price target is $1.40 which would put the valuation more in line with the Lundin Gold\u2019s Fruta del Norte project.<\/p>\n<p><strong>If you feel like a thief buying stock at these low levels blame it on the Curse of the Hidden Osceola Nugget.\u00a0 Just remember to share the story because that is the only way to break the curse!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Junior Miner Osceola Gold (OTC: OSCI) Readies for Full Scale Production with Nearly $4B in Reserves Fully permitted mine with equipment mobilized and imminent operations [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":42139,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[2236],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[13911,13906,13908,13904,13909,13907,13903,13905,13910],"class_list":["post-42138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","stock_ticker-arngf","stock_ticker-cgoof","stock_ticker-mdrpf","stock_ticker-ngd","stock_ticker-osci","stock_ticker-sspxf","stock_ticker-thm","stock_ticker-vgz","stock_ticker-vitff","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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