{"id":143011,"date":"2026-08-16T06:00:17","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T10:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/fever-at-dream-best-bet-why-atlanta-can-cover-the-spread-even-if-caitlin-clark-plays-143011"},"modified":"2026-08-16T06:00:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T10:00:17","slug":"fever-at-dream-best-bet-why-atlanta-can-cover-the-spread-even-if-caitlin-clark-plays","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/fever-at-dream-best-bet-why-atlanta-can-cover-the-spread-even-if-caitlin-clark-plays-143011","title":{"rendered":"Fever at Dream best bet: Why Atlanta can cover the spread even if Caitlin Clark plays"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>I know Caitlin Clark is the better player and bigger star in the <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/category\/sports\/wnba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">WNBA<\/a>, but her rivalry with Angel Reese is one of the biggest in women\u2019s basketball, and it\u2019s great for the sport.<\/p>\n<p>It dates back to college when Reese\u2019s LSU Tigers beat Clark\u2019s Iowa Hawkeyes in the 2023 NCAA Championship, and Clark got revenge in the Elite Eight a year later.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, there\u2019s a chance she doesn\u2019t play when her <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/sports\/wnba\/indiana-fever\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Indiana Fever<\/a> (22-12) visit Reese\u2019s Atlanta Dream (21-12) at State Farm Arena Sunday at 5 p.m. Clark limped off the court in the first half of the Fever\u2019s 98-87 home win over the Dallas Wings Friday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\/caitlin-clark-overcomes-injury-scare-drops-29-points-dallas-wings-fever-take-top-spot-east\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>CAITLIN CLARK OVERCOMES INJURY SCARE, DROPS 29 POINTS ON DALLAS WINGS AS FEVER TAKE TOP SPOT IN EAST<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>She was sensational Friday, shooting 11-for-18 from the field and dishing 10 assists to one turnover. Maybe adrenaline helped her finish the game, but Clark has been on the injury report with back issues the past few games, and I could see her getting a day off Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Best Bet: Atlanta Dream -1.5 (-131) at Kalshi<\/p>\n<p>Even though Clark has an -8.2 on\/off net rating this season, she has been <i>hoopin&#8217;<\/i> post-All-Star break, averaging 24.9 points on 49.5% shooting with 9.4 assists per game.<\/p>\n<p>So, obviously, Indiana is not better without CC. She is averaging 23.0 points on an above-average 48.1% shooting in three games vs. Atlanta.<\/p>\n<p>However, Reese is averaging 16.7 points on 51.4% shooting and 9.7 rebounds in her three meetings with Clark this season.<\/p>\n<p>And, just like in college, Reese\u2019s team is beating Clark\u2019s. The Dream are 2-1 straight up and against the spread vs. the Fever this year and have won their last two meetings.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/link.podtrac.com\/dmwdd_article\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>ZERO BS. JUST DAKICH. TAKE THE DON&#8217;T @ ME PODCAST ON THE ROAD. DOWNLOAD NOW!<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Now, Indiana is the best shooting team in the WNBA.<\/p>\n<p>But Atlanta has an edge in the other three factors of the game, such as rebounding, turnovers and free-throw discrepancy, which are more predictive of winning basketball.<\/p>\n<p>The Dream are beating the Fever in those three factors in their meetings this year. This game is in Atlanta, and most teams shoot better at home.<\/p>\n<p>Indiana scores nearly eight fewer points per game on the road and shoots worse from everywhere on the floor. Of course, the Dream scores nearly eight more points per game at home and shoots much better from behind the arc.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Dream have a rest edge. Their last game was a 104-69 win over the Connecticut Sun Thursday, and Indy played Dallas Friday.<\/p>\n<p>Atlanta had a rest edge in its 108-101 home win over Indiana earlier this year, and Clark played in that game, scoring 26 points and throwing a game-high seven assists.<\/p>\n<p>If CC can\u2019t play Sunday, that sucks for the fans, and I hope she returns next game, but that\u2019s good for my Atlanta bet. If Clark does play, I still like the Dream\u2019s chances of covering the spread, and I feel like gambling, so to speak.<\/p>\n<p>They are a physical team, and tough to play with a rest deficit. Atlanta dominates the glass on both ends of the floor and scores the most paint points per game by taking the highest rate of field goals within three feet of the hoop.<\/p>\n<p>Basically, the Dream are a good bet up to -4 because they should win the &#8220;battle of possessions,&#8221; could get a home whistle from the refs, and the Fever shoot worse on the road.<\/p>\n<p>_____________________________<\/p>\n<p>Follow me on X <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Geoffery_Clark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><u>@Geoffery-Clark<\/u><\/a>, and check out my &#8220;OutKick Bets Podcast&#8221; for more betting content and random rants.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\/fever-dream-best-bet-why-atlanta-can-cover-spread-even-if-caitlin-clark-plays\">Source &#8211; https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\/fever-dream-best-bet-why-atlanta-can-cover-spread-even-if-caitlin-clark-plays <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I know Caitlin Clark is the better player and bigger star in the WNBA, but her rivalry with Angel Reese is one of the biggest [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-143011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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