{"id":141776,"date":"2026-08-05T13:24:43","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T17:24:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/david-marcus-experts-crowned-el-sayed-then-michigan-voters-turned-his-win-into-a-near-disaster-141776"},"modified":"2026-08-05T13:24:43","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T17:24:43","slug":"david-marcus-experts-crowned-el-sayed-then-michigan-voters-turned-his-win-into-a-near-disaster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/david-marcus-experts-crowned-el-sayed-then-michigan-voters-turned-his-win-into-a-near-disaster-141776","title":{"rendered":"DAVID MARCUS: Experts crowned El-Sayed \u2014 then Michigan voters turned his win into a near-disaster"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Over the past week, prior to far-left candidate Abdul El-Sayed squeaking to a possible victory over Rep. Haley Stevens in Tuesday\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/category\/politics\/elections\/state-and-local-primaries\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Democratic Senate primary<\/a>, the contest was treated by almost everyone in the news media as over, with El-Sayed a shoo-in.<\/p>\n<p>I had been in Michigan reporting on the race, and what I wrote was the exact opposite: It was clear to me the race was tightening, especially after the endorsement of <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/category\/person\/gretchen-whitmer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Gov. Gretchen Whitmer<\/a>. So when I saw every subsequent poll giving El-Sayed double-digit leads, I was shocked and a bit nervous.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe, for the first time, the ground had lied to me and the numbers guys had this one right. But once again, the ground coverage defeated the aerial polling.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/politics\/haley-stevens-shreds-abdul-el-sayed-dont-need-celebrity-candidate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>DEM PRIMARY ERUPTS AS ESTABLISHMENT FAVORITE DISMISSES RIVAL AS \u2018CELEBRITY CANDIDATE\u2019<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But by Wednesday morning, this race, in which El-Sayed held a 95% to 5% advantage in prediction markets, had not been called, with El-Sayed seeming to head toward a meager 1- to 3-point victory, with his total under 50%.<\/p>\n<p>Notably, <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/media\/michigan-senate-candidate-mallory-mcmorrow-defends-california-voting-move-says-moving-takes-time\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow<\/a>, who dropped out of the race, still netted 4% \u2014 or, put another way, the difference.<\/p>\n<p>As for <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/category\/politics\/elections\/polls\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the polling<\/a>, the last five public polls had El-Sayed winning by 19, 17, 14, 16 and 11 points, respectively. The news media took this as gospel, and instead of covering a surging Stevens with a real chance to win \u2014 as I did \u2014 they covered an El-Sayed coronation pre-party.<\/p>\n<p>What surprised me so much about this polling was that in <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/category\/us\/detroit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Detroit<\/a>, after dozens of interviews, I couldn\u2019t find anyone voting for El-Sayed who wasn\u2019t already an activist in some way. The more ordinary the politics or occupation of the voter, the more likely that person was to support Stevens.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/opinion\/david-marcus-booming-detroit-voters-skeptical-socialism-snake-oil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>DAVID MARCUS: IN BOOMING DETROIT, VOTERS SKEPTICAL OF SOCIALISM SNAKE OIL<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As I put it in these pages then, &#8220;Many Democratic voters I talked to wanted a steadier hand on the system, and they want to beat Trump and the GOP. But they don\u2019t want to blow up the system.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Those voters, whom I met in Detroit diners and bars, were invisible to the pollsters. Yet, in the end, between Stevens and McMorrow, they were the majority of Democratic voters.<\/p>\n<p>There needs to be a serious reckoning over how journalists use polls and prediction markets in the wake of this historic polling miss, because there is every reason to believe Stevens could have won if her very real momentum had been accurately described.<\/p>\n<p>Elections are stories, and they have arcs. The last week of this campaign, by all rights, should have been about &#8220;The Stevens Comeback,&#8221; but instead, the polls told the story: &#8220;El-Sayed Blowout.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/politics\/dsa-member-leads-dem-primary-midwest-battleground-trails-likely-gop-nominee-poll\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>DSA MEMBER LEADS DEM PRIMARY IN MIDWEST BATTLEGROUND BUT TRAILS LIKELY GOP NOMINEE: POLL<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>How many potential Stevens voters stayed home on Tuesday as a result? We will never know.<\/p>\n<p>The national coverage throughout the week leading to Election Day was that even with Whitmer\u2019s endorsement and that of Rep. James Clyburn, D-S.C., to shore up the Black vote, El-Sayed and his communist-aligned podcaster ally, <a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/category\/person\/hasan-piker\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hasan Piker<\/a>, were cruising to victory.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s be honest: It is the story everybody wanted. It is the sexy story of young socialists upending the Democratic Party establishment, but the embellished polls may well have become a self-fulfilling prophecy.<\/p>\n<p>For Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers, this is all excellent news. He wanted to run against the socialist-aligned El-Sayed, and now he will. He also has the advantage of El-Sayed\u2019s being wounded by what turned into a humiliating underperformance.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/politics\/el-sayed-pals-around-far-left-streamer-hasan-piker-day-before-crucial-michigan-senate-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>EL-SAYED PALS AROUND WITH FAR-LEFT STREAMER HASAN PIKER THE DAY BEFORE CRUCIAL MICHIGAN SENATE ELECTION<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Rogers should also be buoyed by El-Sayed surrogate Piker\u2019s statement Tuesday night about possibly reaching out to Stevens voters. Piker said: saying, &#8220;Everyone being like, &#8216;Abdul has a f&#8212; ton of work to do mending bridges&#8217; \u2026 You are all unbelievably Islamophobic pieces of sh&#8212;. You literally called the dude a f&#8212;ing terrorist for months on end \u2026\u00a0 And now you&#8217;re going to say sit there and be like, &#8216;you really gotta come to me now.'&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>CLICK HERE FOR MORE FOX NEWS OPINION<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>These are not the sweet, sonorous sounds of intraparty unity.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.com\/politics\/2026-midterms-state-of-play-key-races-unfold-stevens-el-sayed-battle-michigan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The race between Rogers and El-Sayed<\/a> will be close and hard-fought, and I will find my way back to the Great Lakes State to take the temperature. In the meantime, the news media must be much more skeptical of polling because it may have turned this primary.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/person\/m\/david-marcus\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM DAVID MARCUS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/david-marcus-experts-crowned-el-sayed-michigan-voters-turned-win-near-disaster\">Source &#8211; https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/david-marcus-experts-crowned-el-sayed-michigan-voters-turned-win-near-disaster <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past week, prior to far-left candidate Abdul El-Sayed squeaking to a possible victory over Rep. Haley Stevens in Tuesday\u2019s Democratic Senate primary, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-141776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>DAVID MARCUS: Experts crowned El-Sayed \u2014 then Michigan voters turned his win into a near-disaster - Wall Street PR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/david-marcus-experts-crowned-el-sayed-then-michigan-voters-turned-his-win-into-a-near-disaster-141776\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"DAVID MARCUS: Experts crowned El-Sayed \u2014 then Michigan voters turned his win into a near-disaster - Wall Street PR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Over the past week, prior to far-left candidate Abdul El-Sayed squeaking to a possible victory over Rep. 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