{"id":138720,"date":"2026-07-11T15:17:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-11T19:17:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/ufc-329-best-bets-why-conor-mcgregor-is-a-massive-trap-vs-max-holloway-in-their-rematch-in-las-vegas-138720"},"modified":"2026-07-11T15:17:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T19:17:18","slug":"ufc-329-best-bets-why-conor-mcgregor-is-a-massive-trap-vs-max-holloway-in-their-rematch-in-las-vegas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/ufc-329-best-bets-why-conor-mcgregor-is-a-massive-trap-vs-max-holloway-in-their-rematch-in-las-vegas-138720","title":{"rendered":"UFC 329 Best Bets: Why Conor McGregor is a massive trap vs Max Holloway in their rematch in Las Vegas"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Conor McGregor<\/a> returns to the Octagon for the first time in five years when he headlines UFC 329 against Max Holloway in a rematch more than a decade in the making.<\/p>\n

While the spotlight belongs to McGregor, the biggest box office star in combat sports, UFC 329’s main card at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas<\/a> is loaded with intriguing betting opportunities from top to bottom.<\/p>\n

8 INDICTED IN PLANNED SNIPER ATTACK AT WHITE HOUSE UFC 250 EVENT, DOJ SAYS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Before we dive into this wild main card, a quick disclaimer: I am not a mixed martial arts betting sharp. I just love fight night and want to have action on the fights. Let\u2019s risk some beer money together. Here are my favorite best bets for Saturday’s blockbuster card in Sin City.<\/p>\n

These odds are courtesy of DraftKings as of Saturday, July 11, at 1:30 p.m. ET and are subject to change.<\/em><\/p>\n

I\u2019d wait closer to fight time before making a bet, which is about 11:15 p.m. ET Sunday, because Conor (22-6) will most likely get bet down once more UFC and McGregor fans get to Las Vegas, giving us a better number for Holloway (27-9).<\/p>\n

Combat sports are different than team sports because the public likes to bet on underdogs in combat sports instead of favorites, like in team sports, so the sportsbooks need the favorites in UFC and boxing. For instance, even though he is undefeated, the sportsbooks always had more liability on Floyd Mayweather Jr.\u2019s opponent in their fights.<\/p>\n

Also, this line is sketchy considering Conor beat Holloway by unanimous decision in their only other meeting back in 2013, and Holloway has lost two of his last three fights entering UFC 329. Yet, McGregor hasn\u2019t fought in five years, and Holloway has been in the octagon eight times over that span, including five title bouts.<\/p>\n

Holloway\u2019s lone win over his last three bouts is over Dustin Poirier, who beat Conor by TKO in his last two fights entering this event. Finally, Holloway averages more significant strikes landed per minute in his UFC matches and absorbs fewer significant strikes.<\/p>\n

Pimblett (23-4) ranks sixth in this division, making him underrated. Plus, Paddy The Baddy<\/em>\u2019s loss to Justin Gaethje by unanimous decision for the interim lightweight title at UFC 324 has aged well. Gaethje went on to upset Ilia Topuria, who is one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the sport, at UFC Freedom 250 to unify the Lightweight Championship.<\/p>\n

DANA WHITE SAYS DONALD TRUMP WOULDN’T STOP PUSHING TO MAKE THE WHITE HOUSE UFC EVENT BIGGER<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Obviously, every fight takes a life of its own. But not even Topuria could go the distance with Gaethje, and Paddy The Baddy did. At least, that\u2019s one way to look at it. His loss to Gaethje snapped a nine-fight win streak, including all seven of Pimblett\u2019s career appearances in the octagon.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Saint Denis (17-3) is on a four-fight winning streak, but he has three career losses in the octagon and has never fought for a title in the UFC. BSD\u2019s opponent two fights back, Beneil Dariush at UFC 322, failed to make weight, and they fought at a catchweight.<\/p>\n

Granted, Saint Denis won by knockout in the first round, but Dariush missing weight proves he wasn\u2019t as locked in as Pimblett will be Saturday. With that in mind, Paddy The Baddy at plus-money is good value. He\u2019s been in wars and has gone the distance in three of his last five fights, while BSD has never gone the distance in the octagon, so Pimblett should have the edge late in the third round.<\/p>\n

This is a rematch of a 2019 fight that Sandhagen (18-6) won by first-round submission. Bautista (17-3) comes in with better form, having won nine of his last 10 fights, including his most recent, a first-round rear-naked choke over Vinicius Oliveira in February.<\/p>\n

Sandhagen has lost two of his last three bouts, but those were to Merab Dvalishvili and Umar Nurmagomedov, the first- and second-ranked fighters in that division. Nurmagomedov also beat Bautista at UFC 321 in November 2025. Sandhagen is more experienced in major bouts.<\/p>\n

He has two bantamweight championship fights and two title eliminator matches for that belt, while Bautista has never fought for a title. Four of Sandhagen\u2019s five losses in the octagon have been either against former bantamweight champions or the current champion, Petr Yan.<\/p>\n

Sandhagen has an edge in striking and has never been knocked out, and Bautista hasn\u2019t knocked anyone out since UFC 259 in 2021. Hence, if this goes the distance, give me Sandhagen\u2019s big-fight experience at this reasonable price.<\/p>\n

Royval (17-9) has a history of exciting fights. Twenty of Royval\u2019s 26 career matches have ended by either knockout or submission. Four of his last seven bouts have been either “Fight” or “Performance of the Night”. In fact, Royval\u2019s loss to Joshua Van for the flyweight strap at UFC 317 in December won “Fight of the Year”.<\/p>\n

Kavanagh (10-1) is a former five-time K-1 kickboxing champion, and Royval has nine submission wins. So, I\u2019m envisioning Royval trying to get this to the mat, leaving himself vulnerable, and Kavanagh, the -218 betting favorite, taking advantage of that with his precision striking.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m going to “fade the market,” which has bet Green from an underdog on the opener to a slight favorite at the time of writing. Green (35-17-1 and one no contest) is a veteran whom the UFC fans are more familiar with, and he has more than twice as many career fights as McKinney (18-8).<\/p>\n

Maybe that line movement is sharp, but again, MMA and boxing fans love to bet the underdog. The market\u2019s logic is that Green\u2019s experience will help him overcome McKinney\u2019s early-round barrage.<\/p>\n

None of McKinney\u2019s 26 career matches have gone the distance, and his last seven fights have ended in the first round. Nevertheless, McKinney\u2019s striking stats are slightly better, and he has nine wins by submission in his career.<\/p>\n

_____________________________<\/p>\n

Follow me on X @Geoffery-Clark<\/u><\/a>, and check out my “OutKick Bets Podcast” for more betting content and random rants.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\/ufc-329-best-bets-why-conor-mcgregor-massive-trap-vs-max-holloway-rematch-las-vegas <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Conor McGregor returns to the Octagon for the first time in five years when he headlines UFC 329 against Max Holloway in a rematch more […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-138720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC 329 Best Bets: Why Conor McGregor is a massive trap vs Max Holloway in their rematch in Las Vegas - Wall Street PR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/ufc-329-best-bets-why-conor-mcgregor-is-a-massive-trap-vs-max-holloway-in-their-rematch-in-las-vegas-138720\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UFC 329 Best Bets: Why Conor McGregor is a massive trap vs Max Holloway in their rematch in Las Vegas - 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