{"id":133792,"date":"2026-05-29T05:00:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T09:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/lee-carter-i-study-polling-democrats-are-gambling-on-anti-trump-votes-not-ideas-133792"},"modified":"2026-05-29T05:00:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T09:00:30","slug":"lee-carter-i-study-polling-democrats-are-gambling-on-anti-trump-votes-not-ideas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/lee-carter-i-study-polling-democrats-are-gambling-on-anti-trump-votes-not-ideas-133792","title":{"rendered":"LEE CARTER: I study polling. Democrats are gambling on anti-Trump votes, not ideas"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Everyone sees President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/person\/donald-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019s weak polling numbers.<\/p>\n<p>But almost nobody is asking the more important political question:<\/p>\n<p>Who are the Democrats becoming?<\/p>\n<p>Right now, Democrats are benefiting from economic frustration, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/us\/economy\/inflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">inflation<\/a> fatigue and the natural gravity that pulls against the party in power during midterms.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/fox-news-poll-economic-pain-deepens-disapproval-trump-hits-new-high\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>FOX NEWS POLL: AS ECONOMIC PAIN DEEPENS, DISAPPROVAL OF TRUMP HITS NEW HIGH<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But a party winning because voters are hurting is not the same thing as a party voters truly believe in.<\/p>\n<p>And that distinction may matter more than any poll.<\/p>\n<p>The latest New York Times\/Siena polling showed Democrats with a sizable advantage on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/midterm-alarm-bells-democrats-face-steep-favorability-deficit-despite-election-gains\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">generic congressional ballot<\/a>. On the surface, that sounds like momentum.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/trump-vs-history-presidents-poll-numbers-compare-biden-obama-bush-ahead-midterms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>TRUMP VS HISTORY: HOW PRESIDENT&#8217;S POLL NUMBERS COMPARE TO BIDEN, OBAMA, BUSH AHEAD OF MIDTERMS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>But underneath those numbers sits a much more fragile reality: Americans still do not seem entirely sure what today\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/us\/democratic-party\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Democratic Party<\/a> actually is.<\/p>\n<p>Is it the party of working-class voters?<\/p>\n<p>Or elite cultural judgment?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/fox-news-poll-30-think-recent-trump-assassination-attempt-staged\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>FOX NEWS POLL: 30% THINK RECENT TRUMP ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT WAS STAGED<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Is it the party of economic populism?<\/p>\n<p>Or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/politics\/socialism\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">socialism<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>Is it the party of institutional stability?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/doug-schoen-democratic-battle-pits-moderates-vs-progressives-soul-party\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>DOUG SCHOEN: DEMOCRATIC BATTLE PITS MODERATES VS. PROGRESSIVES FOR SOUL OF THE PARTY<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Or permanent activist revolution?<\/p>\n<p>Is it the party of normalcy?<\/p>\n<p>Or the party constantly trying to redefine what &#8220;normal&#8221; even means?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/democrats-break-scandal-plagued-graham-platner-warn-civil-war-party\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>DEMOCRATS BREAK WITH SCANDAL-PLAGUED GRAHAM PLATNER, WARN OF &#8216;CIVIL WAR&#8217; IN PARTY<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The faces of the modern Democratic Party are so ideologically and culturally varied that voters increasingly struggle to locate its emotional center.<\/p>\n<p>And voters need a center.<\/p>\n<p>Especially during periods of instability.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/democrat-blasted-left-right-after-softening-stance-scandal-hit-maine-candidate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>DEMOCRAT BLASTED BY LEFT AND RIGHT AFTER SOFTENING STANCE ON SCANDAL-HIT MAINE CANDIDATE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/politics\/house-of-representatives\/republicans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Republicans<\/a> have their own vulnerabilities right now. Trump\u2019s numbers on inflation and the economy are weak. Voters are exhausted by high prices and years of national tension.<\/p>\n<p>But Republicans possess something Democrats currently do not: clarity.<\/p>\n<p>Love him or hate him, voters know what Trump represents. The Republican coalition has largely aligned itself behind one emotional story about the country: strength, nationalism, disruption and rejection of elite institutional culture.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats, meanwhile, often appear to be running five competing emotional campaigns at the same time.<\/p>\n<p>And that works &#8230; until conditions change.<\/p>\n<p>Because what happens if <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/auto\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gas prices<\/a> fall?<\/p>\n<p>What happens if inflation cools?<\/p>\n<p>What happens if Republicans can point to economic stabilization?<\/p>\n<p>What happens if a conflict like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/world\/conflicts\/iran\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iran<\/a> ends not in catastrophe, but in perceived American strength?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>CLICK HERE FOR MORE FOX NEWS OPINION<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/liz-peek-warring-democrats-need-trump-hatred-win-2028\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">coalition powered primarily by<\/a> public pain is far more fragile than a coalition powered by identity and belief.<\/p>\n<p>That is the risk Democrats may be misreading in this moment.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/trump-panic-broke-democratic-party-fueled-endless-crisis-politics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Anti-Trump energy remains real<\/a>. But opposition alone rarely sustains political movements forever. Eventually voters want to know, not simply, what a party hates; but what future it intends to build.<\/p>\n<p>And increasingly, many Americans still seem uncertain about the answer.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/person\/c\/lee-carter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong><u>CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM LEE HARTLEY CARTER<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/lee-carter-study-polling-democrats-gambling-anti-trump-votes-ideas\">Source &#8211; https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/lee-carter-study-polling-democrats-gambling-anti-trump-votes-ideas <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Everyone sees President Donald Trump\u2019s weak polling numbers. But almost nobody is asking the more important political question: Who are the Democrats becoming? Right now, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-133792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>LEE CARTER: I study polling. 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