{"id":130418,"date":"2026-05-03T10:00:58","date_gmt":"2026-05-03T14:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/examining-nato-inside-the-commitment-gap-as-us-carries-alliance-deterrence-130418"},"modified":"2026-05-03T10:00:58","modified_gmt":"2026-05-03T14:00:58","slug":"examining-nato-inside-the-commitment-gap-as-us-carries-alliance-deterrence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/examining-nato-inside-the-commitment-gap-as-us-carries-alliance-deterrence-130418","title":{"rendered":"Examining NATO: Inside the \u2018commitment gap\u2019 as US carries alliance deterrence"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

This is part one of a series examining the challenges confronting the NATO alliance.<\/i><\/p>\n

As President Donald Trump ramps up pressure on NATO<\/a> allies to increase defense spending \u2014 and orders the withdrawal of 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany over the next six to 12 months \u2014 a deeper issue is coming into focus: even as allied budgets rise, NATO still depends heavily on American military power to function.<\/p>\n

NATO\u2019s imbalance is not theoretical \u2014 and it is not new, retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg told Fox News Digital, “I told the president\u2026 maybe you ought to talk about a tiered relationship with NATO,” Kellogg described conversations with Donald Trump in his first term about the alliance\u2019s future. “\u2026we need to develop a new, for lack of a better term, a new NATO a new defensive alignment with Europe<\/a>.”<\/p>\n

Kellogg, who served as a senior national security<\/a> official during Trump’s first term, said the alliance has expanded politically but not militarily \u2014 creating what he sees as a growing gap between commitments and real capability.<\/p>\n

NATO CHIEF SIGNALS ALLIES MAY ACT ON HORMUZ, WARNS OF \u2018UNHEALTHY CODEPENDENCE\u2019 ON US<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

“You started with 12, and you went to 32, and in the process, I think you diluted the impact,” he argued, calling today\u2019s NATO “a very bloated architecture.”<\/p>\n

“They haven’t put the money into defense. Their defense industry and defense forces<\/a> have atrophied. When you look at the Brits right now, they could barely deploy forces: they have two aircraft carriers, both under maintenance. Their brigades are like one out of six that work. And you just look at the capability, it’s just not there. So I think we need to realize that and say, well, we need something different,” Kellogg, who is the co-chair of the Center for American Security at the America First Foreign Policy Institute, told Fox News Digital.<\/p>\n

But not everyone agrees the alliance is losing relevance.<\/p>\n

“It has never been more relevant,” said John R. Deni, a research professor at the U.S. Army War College, who says NATO remains central to U.S. national security.<\/p>\n

“The reason for that is twofold,” he said. “One, it\u2019s our comparative advantage versus the Chinese and the Russians\u2026 they don\u2019t have anything like this.”<\/p>\n

“And the second reason\u2026 NATO underwrites the security and stability of our most important trade and investment relationship,” he added, referring to economic ties between North America and Europe.<\/p>\n

NATO ALLIES CLASH AFTER RUSSIAN JETS BREACH AIRSPACE, TESTING ALLIANCE RESOLVE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

By around 2010, the United States accounted for roughly 65% to 70% of NATO defense spending, according to analysis provided by Barak Seener from the Henry Jackson Society, a London-based think tank.<\/p>\n

“They\u2019ve always been dependent on the U.S.,” Kellogg said of the European allies.<\/p>\n

“The allies overall rely upon one another for deterrence and defense by design,” Deni said, explaining that alliances<\/a> exist to “pool their resources” and “aggregate their individual strengths.”<\/p>\n

Deni pointed to ground forces as a clear example of what the U.S. gains from the alliance, noting that “there are far more allied mechanized infantry forces on the ground than there are Americans.”<\/p>\n

Still, he acknowledged that reliance has at times gone too far.<\/p>\n

“In the past\u2026 it was fair to say that the European allies were overly reliant<\/a> upon the Americans for conventional defense,” he said, pointing to the 2000s.<\/p>\n

That, he said, was partly driven by U.S. priorities \u2014 as Washington pushed European allies to focus on wars in Afghanistan<\/a> and Iraq rather than territorial defense.<\/p>\n

Seener describes NATO as “formally collective, but functionally asymmetric,” with the U.S. providing a disproportionate share of “high-end capabilities.”<\/p>\n

That asymmetry is most visible in nuclear deterrence.<\/p>\n

Seener said the U.S. provides the overwhelming majority of NATO\u2019s nuclear arsenal \u2014 including intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine-launched systems and strategic bombers \u2014 meaning deterrence ultimately relies on the assumption of U.S. retaliation.<\/p>\n

A NATO official told Fox News Digital that, “The U.S. nuclear deterrent cannot be replaced, but it is clear that Europe needs to step up. There\u2019s no question. There needs to be a better balance when it comes to our defense and security. Both because we see the vital role the U.S. plays around the world and the resources that it demands, and also because it is only fair.”<\/p>\n

“The good news,” the official added, “is that the Allies are doing exactly that. They are stepping up, working together \u2014 and with the U.S. \u2014 to ensure we collectively have what we need to deter and defend one billion people living across the Euro-Atlantic area.”<\/p>\n

NATO LAUNCHES ARCTIC SECURITY PUSH AS TRUMP EYES GREENLAND TAKEOVER<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Beyond nuclear weapons, the dependence runs through the alliance\u2019s operational backbone.<\/p>\n

Seener pointed to U.S.-provided intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance \u2014 as well as logistics and command systems \u2014 as essential to NATO operations.<\/p>\n

“Without U.S. intelligence and surveillance, NATO loses situational awareness and early warning capabilities,” Seener said, adding, “So that means that Russia, for example, can attack Europe. And theoretically, if there’s no NATO and the U.S. is not involved, Europe would not be aware, or it would take it too long to be able to defend itself.”<\/p>\n

Kellogg also says that much of Europe\u2019s military capability falls short of top-tier systems.<\/p>\n

“For the most part, their equipment, if you had to grade it A, B, C, D, E, F, they\u2019re kind of like B players or C players,” he said. “It\u2019s not the first line of work.”<\/p>\n

He pointed to air and missile defense as a key gap, noting that while European countries rely on U.S.-made systems such as Patriot and THAAD, “they don\u2019t have a system that\u2019s comparable.”<\/p>\n

Kellogg attributed that to years of underinvestment, saying European defense industries “have atrophied,” adding that the United States is also now “relearning that as well.”<\/p>\n

TRUMP AFFIRMS US ‘WILL ALWAYS BE THERE FOR NATO,’ WHILE EXPRESSING DOUBTS ABOUT ALLIANCE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Deni said the picture today is more mixed.<\/p>\n

“Alliance defense spending has been<\/a> up\u2026 and has spiked far more after 2022,” he said, pointing to Russia\u2019s invasion of Crimea in 2014 as a turning point.<\/p>\n

But he cautioned that capability gains take time, noting that many improvements are still years away from full deployment.<\/p>\n

Deni pointed to recent European purchases of U.S. systems as evidence of growing capability, noting that countries including Poland, Romania, Norway and Denmark are acquiring the F-35 fighter jet from the U.S.<\/p>\n

“You can\u2019t build an F-35 overnight,” he said, adding that many of these improvements will take years to fully materialize.<\/p>\n

A NATO official told Fox News Digital the alliance “needs to move further and faster” to meet growing threats, pointing to new capability targets agreed by defense ministers in June 2025.<\/p>\n

The official said priorities include air and missile defense, long-range weapons, logistics and large land forces, noting that while details remain classified, plans call for a fivefold increase in air and missile defense, “thousands more” armored vehicles and tanks, and “millions more” artillery shells. NATO also aims to double key enabling capabilities such as logistics, transportation and medical support.<\/p>\n

The official added that allies are increasing investments in warships, aircraft, drones, long-range missiles, as well as space and cyber capabilities, while boosting readiness and modernizing command and control.<\/p>\n

“These targets are now included in national plans,” the official said, adding that allies must demonstrate how they will meet them through sustained defense spending and capability development.<\/p>\n

The NATO official also noted that European allies lead multinational forces across Central and Eastern Europe, while the U.S. and Canada serve as framework nations in Poland and Latvia, alongside ongoing air policing missions and NATO\u2019s KFOR operation in Kosovo.<\/p>\n

Kellogg\u2019s warning is direct: NATO\u2019s deterrence depends on U.S. presence.<\/p>\n

“The one you always have to worry about\u2026 is Russia,” Kellogg, who was Trump\u2019s special envoy for Ukraine and Russia in 2025, said.<\/p>\n

If U.S. forces are tied down elsewhere, NATO could face serious strain \u2014 particularly in areas like intelligence and logistics.<\/p>\n

For Kellogg, the danger is delay. “We won\u2019t know until it happens,” he said. “And then you won\u2019t be able to respond to it.”<\/p>\n

Deni, however, said the alliance remains a strategic asset \u2014 not a liability.<\/p>\n

The question, he suggests, is not whether NATO still works. It is whether allies can adapt fast enough to keep it working.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/world\/examining-nato-inside-commitment-gap-us-carries-alliance-deterrence <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is part one of a series examining the challenges confronting the NATO alliance. 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