{"id":129545,"date":"2026-04-27T13:50:46","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T17:50:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/oklahoma-city-thunder-at-suns-game-4-best-bet-why-phoenix-can-cover-10-5-129545"},"modified":"2026-04-27T13:50:46","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T17:50:46","slug":"oklahoma-city-thunder-at-suns-game-4-best-bet-why-phoenix-can-cover-10-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/oklahoma-city-thunder-at-suns-game-4-best-bet-why-phoenix-can-cover-10-5-129545","title":{"rendered":"Oklahoma City Thunder at Suns Game 4 best bet: Why Phoenix can cover +10.5"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) look to be the only team in the first round of the 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/sports\/nba-playoffs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NBA Playoffs<\/a> to pull off a sweep when they visit the 8-seed Phoenix Suns (0-3) for Game 4 Monday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/sports\/nba\/oklahoma-city-thunder\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Oklahoma City<\/a> has utterly dominated Phoenix in this series: The Thunder have a +20.0 scoring margin and are winning all &#8220;four factors.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong><u>CLICK HERE FOR MORE SPORTS COVERAGE ON <\/u><\/strong><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/outkick.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><strong><u>OUTKICK.COM<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The <i>foul-merchant<\/i> and reigning NBA MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander,<strong> <\/strong>has been tearing the Suns apart. Shai is averaging 34.7 points on 54.1% shooting and 8.0 assists in this series and has gotten to the foul line 38 times.<\/p>\n<p>Yet, as we saw Sunday with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/person\/kevin-durant\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kevin Durant<\/a>-less Houston Rockets against the Los Angeles Lakers, it\u2019s tough to sweep a team, regardless of how poorly they have played in the series or who is on their injury report.<\/p>\n<p>Like Houston this past weekend, Phoenix will show professional pride and play OKC tough in Game 4. I\u2019m not saying the Suns will prevent the sweep. But they will cover the spread. Or at least that\u2019s how I\u2019m betting it.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s impossible to make a statistical argument for Phoenix here. Oklahoma City is outclassing the Suns in every way.<\/p>\n<p>However, nearly 90% of the action is on the Thunder at the time of writing, per <a href=\"http:\/\/pregame.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Pregame.com<\/a>. While betting splits and &#8220;fading the market&#8221; can be an overrated handicapping angle, I\u2019d rather be on the same side as the sportsbooks than the public.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/sports\/ayo-dosunmus-43-point-explosion-may-repeat-timberwolves-try-finish-nuggets-game-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>AYO DOSUNMU&#8217;S 43-POINT EXPLOSION MAY NOT REPEAT AS TIMBERWOLVES TRY TO FINISH NUGGETS IN GAME 5<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Also, OKC is missing its second-leading scorer, wing Jalen Williams, and Phoenix\u2019s best scorers are healthy. Suns wing Dillon Brooks, SG Jalen Green and five-time NBA All-Star Devin Booker are all averaging 20+ points in this series. They just need a couple of the role players to step up, and they can steal a game.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, if the refs swallow their whistles and don\u2019t send Gilgeous-Alexander to the charity stripe every time he flops, it\u2019ll be a lot harder for OKC to blow Phoenix out.<\/p>\n<p>Again, most of this analysis is <i>narrative-based<\/i> because there just isn\u2019t a basketball argument for betting the Suns Monday. But sometimes weird things happen in sports, especially in the playoffs, and I have a feeling Phoenix keeps Game 4 closer than the market does.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><i>_____________________________<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Follow me on X <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Geoffery_Clark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><u>@Geoffery-Clark<\/u><\/a>, and check out my <a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/outkick-bets-with-geoff-clark\/id1642772289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><u>OutKick Bets Podcast<\/u><\/a> for more betting content and random rants.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\/oklahoma-city-thunder-suns-game-4-best-bet-phoenix-cover-105\">Source &#8211; https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/outkick-sports\/oklahoma-city-thunder-suns-game-4-best-bet-phoenix-cover-105 <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) look to be the only team in the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs to pull off a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-129545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - 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