{"id":128543,"date":"2026-04-21T03:00:43","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:00:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/democrats-taking-the-senate-seriously-despite-trumps-sinking-polls-its-probably-a-media-fantasy-128543"},"modified":"2026-04-21T03:00:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:00:43","slug":"democrats-taking-the-senate-seriously-despite-trumps-sinking-polls-its-probably-a-media-fantasy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/democrats-taking-the-senate-seriously-despite-trumps-sinking-polls-its-probably-a-media-fantasy-128543","title":{"rendered":"Democrats taking the Senate? Seriously? Despite Trump\u2019s sinking polls, it\u2019s probably a media fantasy"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Let\u2019s not get carried away here.<\/p>\n

The Democrats\u2019 chances of winning the Senate<\/a> are somewhere between nearly impossible and non-existent.<\/p>\n

And yet it\u2019s suddenly the subject of considerable media chatter.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s like a Rube Goldberg contraption: If this happens and that happens and this other long-shot thing somehow falls into place, the ball ends up in the cup.<\/p>\n

TRUMP COMMANDEERS CABINET MEMBERS TO CAMPAIGN IN MIDTERMS, ORDERING THEM TO DROP OR MUTE CONTROVERSIAL STANCES<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Virtually everyone, including many Republicans I\u2019ve spoken to privately, agrees that the Democrats will take the House in November. The margin may not be huge, given that most incumbents win reelection, but having the opposition party control the floor, the committees and a blizzard of investigations would utterly change the last two years of Donald Trump\u2019s<\/a> presidency.<\/p>\n

The latest NBC poll has 63 percent of those surveyed strongly or somewhat disapproving of Trump\u2019s job performance, and 67 percent strongly or somewhat disapproving of his handling of the Iran war. Ouch.<\/p>\n

But now mainstream pundits are so absorbed by such sinking poll numbers, and the war\u2019s unpopularity, that they believe Democrats can walk on water and quite possibly ride that flood into Senate control.<\/p>\n

They\u2019re even talking about Texas<\/a>.<\/p>\n

TEXAS AG PAXTON SUES DEM FUNDRAISING PLATFORM ACTBLUE, ALLEGING ‘FRAUDULENT AND FOREIGN DONATIONS’<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

I mean, come on. Remember the endless puffery around Beto O\u2019Rourke, who lost for Senate and governor? Texas hasn\u2019t elected a Democrat statewide since the 1990s. And yet every couple of years we get “this is it! Texas is ready to turn blue!”<\/p>\n

I know, Democratic contender James Talarico has raised truckloads of money since CBS refused to air his Stephen Colbert interview.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

And in politics you can never say never.<\/p>\n

Much will depend on whether Sen. John Cornyn or Attorney General Ken Paxton wins the GOP runoff. Cornyn is viewed by many Republicans as too moderate. But Paxton was impeached (then acquitted) of charges including bribery in 2023, settled criminal fraud charges by paying restitution, and divorced by his wife who said he\u2019d had an affair.<\/p>\n

So yeah, it\u2019s a crazy year.<\/p>\n

And yeah, if the war is over, much will depend on the economy bouncing back \u2013 a tired clich\u00e9 that happens to be true.<\/p>\n

The New York Times<\/a> examines the question in a piece so loaded down with caveats that its corporate butt is fully covered:\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

“A blue wave is not guaranteed, of course, and Democrats would not be assured to flip two reliably Republican states even if it were. But a feasible path for the party to win the Senate is coming into focus.”<\/p>\n

That\u2019s called tiptoeing into the water. The carefully crafted Nate Cohn piece admits that Democratic candidates would have to win seven out of seven competitive races. Seven out of seven!<\/p>\n

GOP STRATEGISTS CALLED TO DC AS TRUMP TEAM CONFRONTS RISING MIDTERM HEADWINDS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

I mean, that\u2019s as likely as the world getting to see the dark side of the moon.<\/p>\n

Uh, let\u2019s try another analogy.<\/p>\n

Seven out of seven is less likely than winning the lottery.\u00a0<\/p>\n

It\u2019s less likely than gas prices suddenly sinking. Which is why Trump contradicted Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who told CNN that gas prices below $3 a gallon “might not happen till next year.”<\/p>\n

“Totally wrong,” says the president.<\/p>\n

So here\u2019s the rundown.<\/p>\n

Every Dem in the Senate today represents a state that Joe Biden<\/a> carried in 2020, because the party has fared so poorly in red states. (One example: When West Virginia Democrat Joe Manchin, who drove Biden crazy, retired, he was replaced by Republican Jim Justice.)\u00a0<\/p>\n

And \u2013 here\u2019s another Times caveat! \u2013 no party has managed to flip even two <\/strong>states that leaned the other way politically since 2008.<\/p>\n

GOP SENATE HOPEFUL MICHELE TAFOYA ACCUSES WALZ, ELLISON OF IGNORING MINNESOTA FRAUD SCHEME<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

The assessment basically rests on the quality of the Democratic candidates heading into the midterms.<\/p>\n

In North Carolina, that\u2019s former governor Roy Cooper.<\/p>\n

In Ohio, it\u2019s former senator Sherrod Brown, who lost his seat in 2024 during the Trump victory.<\/p>\n

In Alaska, former Rep. Mary Peltola is already ahead in the polls.<\/p>\n

But Maine is weird<\/a>. The strong contender was supposed to be Gov. Janet Mills. But she\u2019s trailing in the primary, by 2 to 1, behind progressive first-time contender and military veteran Graham Platner.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Platner has acknowledged wearing a Nazi tattoo. In 2021, CNN reported on a series of posts in which Platner also called himself a communist, said rural Americans are “racist” and “stupid,” described all police officers as “bastards,” and used the word “retard” several times. He says these were stupid jokes. And Elizabeth Warren campaigned with him over the weekend.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s more, would either candidate be able to oust independent Republican fixture Susan Collins?<\/p>\n

At the same time, the Democrats have to defend seats in Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Even the fiercely nonpartisan Cook Political report shifted four Senate races to the Democrats, but that\u2019s from Solid Republican to Likely Republican, or Lean Republican to Tossup. Not exactly a slam dunk.<\/p>\n

But the Times story has started to echo on television.<\/p>\n

“Republicans Are Starting to Worry About Losing the Senate,” an MS NOW banner blared.<\/p>\n

The ultimate Times hedge: “If a blue wave materializes, Democrats have a chance to ride it to Senate control.”<\/p>\n

SUBSCRIBE TO HOWIE’S MEDIA BUZZMETER PODCAST, A RIFF ON THE DAY’S HOTTEST STORIES<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

But here\u2019s the thing. It\u2019s an off-year election. Let\u2019s not forget: everything depends on turnout.\u00a0<\/p>\n

If Trump voters are demoralized, many may stay home. If Democratic voters are ticked off but not to the point of driving themselves to the polls, that will muffle the impact.<\/p>\n

If politics were predictable, the pontificators and the junkies would have far less material for their never-ending arguments.<\/p>\n

Footnote:<\/strong> I\u2019m prepared to eat crow on November 3rd.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/media\/democrats-taking-senate-seriously-despite-trumps-sinking-polls-its-probably-media-fantasy <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Let\u2019s not get carried away here. The Democrats\u2019 chances of winning the Senate are somewhere between nearly impossible and non-existent. And yet it\u2019s suddenly the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_2902945987_2902945987":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[16563],"tags":[],"stock_ticker":[],"class_list":["post-128543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDemocrats taking the Senate? Seriously? 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