{"id":127966,"date":"2026-04-16T07:00:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T11:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/trump-pushed-iran-to-the-brink-but-did-we-win-anything-that-lasts-127966"},"modified":"2026-04-16T07:00:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T11:00:52","slug":"trump-pushed-iran-to-the-brink-but-did-we-win-anything-that-lasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/trump-pushed-iran-to-the-brink-but-did-we-win-anything-that-lasts-127966","title":{"rendered":"Trump pushed Iran to the brink \u2014 but did we win anything that lasts?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

After 21 hours of talks in Islamabad last week, Iran walked away without a deal. Trump announced a naval blockade, then said Iran wants peace “very badly” and has “called.” Both things are probably true \u2014 and together they define the problem.<\/p>\n

Wars do not end when the shooting stops. They end when the political objective is secured. That is the standard Carl von Clausewitz set, and it is the standard by which the current conflict with Iran<\/a> must now be judged. By that measure, as this phase of the war draws to a close, the answer is deeply unsatisfying.<\/p>\n

An American man I recently met who had lived inside Iran offered a blunt forecast. China will pressure Iran to accept U.S. terms because Beijing needs Iranian oil. Iran will agree not because it is defeated, but because it wants sanctions relief and breathing room. The regime in Tehran will survive \u2014 strong enough to keep ruling, repress its people and wait for a more favorable moment.<\/p>\n

PAKISTANI GENERAL SAYS IRAN DIPLOMACY STILL ‘ALIVE, DESPITE US BLOCKADE, FAILED TALKS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

That is a cynical forecast. It is also a realistic one. In dealing with Iran, survival is victory.<\/p>\n

The Islamabad talks confirmed<\/a> it. Vance emerged after 21 hours to say Iran “chose not to accept our terms.” Trump then said Iran wants a deal “very badly” and has already reached out. Both things can be true. Iran wants relief \u2014 on its own terms.<\/p>\n

PRESIDENT TRUMP’S NEGOTIATING TEAM PRAISED BY NUCLEAR EXPERTS FOR WALKING AWAY FROM PAKISTAN TALKS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

I have written this before, and it bears repeating: If the Iranian regime remains intact, it wins \u2014 not because it defeated the United States militarily, but because it endured. The Islamic Republic does not need to win in the conventional sense. It only needs to outlast its adversaries politically, economically and strategically. History shows it is skilled at exactly that.<\/p>\n

Washington assumed sustained air and naval pressure could compel Tehran to yield. That assumption has been tested and has come up short. U.S. and allied strikes degraded Iranian capabilities, imposed real costs and weakened aspects of Iran\u2019s proxy network. But they did not collapse the regime, eliminate its strategic leverage or force Tehran into meaningful concessions. There is a diminishing return to every additional strike. At some point, the bombs become symbolic \u2014 signals of resolve rather than instruments of decisive change.<\/p>\n

TRUMP DELAYS XI MEETING AS IRAN CONFLICT LETS US STRONG-ARM CHINA\u2019S OIL SUPPLY<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

If there was one defining lesson of this conflict, it was not nuclear weapons. It was energy. The crisis revealed just how vulnerable the United States and the global economy remain to disruption in the Strait of Hormuz \u2014 a chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of the world\u2019s oil flows. Chinese-chartered tankers transited the Strait despite U.S. pressure. If Iran\u2019s largest oil customer operates with a degree of freedom, the pressure campaign is not as effective as advertised.<\/p>\n

WHY TRUMP, IRAN SEEM LIGHT-YEARS APART ON ANY POSSIBLE DEAL TO END THE WAR<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

One central justification for this war was fear that Iran was approaching nuclear breakout. Clarity matters. Iran had accumulated stockpiles of uranium enriched to 60% \u2014 approaching weapons-grade, but not equivalent to it. Multiple steps remain between enrichment and a deployable weapon. IAEA assessments and U.S. intelligence consistently distinguished between fissile material and a functional bomb \u2014 a distinction the war\u2019s opening rationale consistently blurred. Islamabad confirmed the question remains open.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Nuclear enrichment was, in Trump\u2019s own words, “the only point that really mattered” \u2014 and neither side moved. Iran\u2019s foreign minister said the delegations came “just inches away” from a memorandum of understanding before the goalposts shifted. The core dispute sits exactly where it did when the first bombs fell.<\/p>\n

This is the question Washington must answer honestly. Iran was not about to field a nuclear weapon. The regime was repressing its people before the first strikes. Its proxies \u2014 Hamas, Hezbollah and others \u2014 had already been weakened. The Strait was open. We fought to prevent a future threat, slow Iran\u2019s nuclear ambitions, degrade its proxy network and demonstrate that energy coercion would not go unanswered \u2014 to bloody the nose of a regime testing limits for forty-seven years.<\/p>\n

STEVE FORBES: IRAN\u2019S NUCLEAR INSANITY LEAVES AMERICA AND ALLIES NO ROOM TO BLINK<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

That is not nothing. But it is not decisive.<\/p>\n

The regime survives. The nuclear question remains<\/a> open. The Strait remains vulnerable. The proxy network, though weakened, is not eliminated. And ninety million Iranians remain under a repressive theocracy \u2014 their condition unchanged by this conflict.<\/p>\n

GOP HOLDS WITH TRUMP ON IRAN WAR, BUT CRACKS EMERGE AS DEADLINE NEARS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

The IRGC\u2019s naval force was never designed to fight the U.S. Navy<\/a> symmetrically. What it built was an asymmetric force to exploit vulnerabilities in confined waters \u2014 fast attack craft, swarm tactics, naval mines and unmanned suicide vessels. The logic is brutal: Flood the engagement space with expendable platforms, and only one needs to get through. Think of the USS Cole \u2014 one small boat, one well-placed charge. Iran still has hundreds of those boats in the fight.<\/p>\n

Despite weeks of strikes, over 60% of the IRGC\u2019s fast-attack fleet remains operational, stored in<\/a> underground pens that resist air targeting. In the confined waters of the Persian Gulf, swarm tactics can inflict serious damage even against a superior force. That threat will outlast any ceasefire.<\/p>\n

STOP CALLING THIS BRINKMANSHIP. TRUMP’S HORMUZ MOVE IS THE REAL PRESSURE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

If Iran accepts terms \u2014 under Chinese pressure, with an expiring ceasefire<\/a> bearing down \u2014 it may do so tactically, not strategically. The regime can accept conditions, relieve pressure, resume oil exports and then walk away from the agreement at a time of its choosing, perhaps under a future administration more willing to look the other way. That pattern is not hypothetical. It is consistent with forty-seven years of Iranian behavior.<\/p>\n

At the end of this conflict, Iran has been weakened but not broken. Its ambitions have been slowed but not stopped. Its regime has been pressured but not replaced. The strategic competition continues.<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE FOR MORE FOX NEWS OPINION<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Wars like this do not end cleanly. They end with ambiguity. Washington will declare success. Tehran will claim survival. The world will move on \u2014 until the next crisis.<\/p>\n

But the fundamental reality remains. If the Iranian regime survives, it wins \u2014 because it lives to fight another day, to rebuild and to challenge the region and the United States again. This war, however it concludes, is not the end of the Iran problem. It is simply the end of this round.<\/p>\n

And perhaps, as my acquaintance who lived in Iran warned, a sad day for all.<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM ROBERT MAGINNIS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/trump-pushed-iran-brink-win-anything-lasts <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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