{"id":125161,"date":"2026-03-23T07:00:47","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T11:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/blue-tsunami-predictions-for-november-election-might-not-make-landfall-125161"},"modified":"2026-03-23T07:00:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T11:00:47","slug":"blue-tsunami-predictions-for-november-election-might-not-make-landfall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/blue-tsunami-predictions-for-november-election-might-not-make-landfall-125161","title":{"rendered":"Blue tsunami predictions for November election might not make landfall"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

To read much political analysis, the results of the November midterm election are already set. The recent Fox News Poll<\/a> showed Democrats leading Republicans by six points in support for the House. Similarly, last November both New Jersey and Virginia elected Democrats governors by double digits, suggesting an energized Democratic electorate and a demoralized Republican one.<\/p>\n

And, given that the Republicans\u2019 current razor thing 218-214 margin in the House, a loss of only three Republican-held seats would give the Democrats control. Over in the Senate, the Democrats face more challenging \u2013 though not impossible \u2013 odds.<\/p>\n

As the clich\u00e9 goes, “a week is lifetime in politics.” And the election is not for seven months.<\/p>\n

All off-year elections represent a referendum on the president \u2013 and given President Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019s ability to dominate and disrupt \u2013 that\u2019s especially true this November. Fortunately for the GOP, there remain a host of known-unknowns \u2013 issues that will likely affect the outcome of November\u2019s elections more than the state of the race in March.<\/p>\n

SENATE CAMPAIGN CHIEF ‘OPTIMISTIC’ FOR GOP MAJORITY DESPITE DARKENING MIDTERM CLIMATE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

The obvious known-unknown is \u2013 as always \u2013the economy. But this year \u2013 given the current bombing of Iran, the change in leadership in Venezuela<\/a> and uncertainty about Cuba \u2013 Trump\u2019s unorthodox foreign policy actions may be decisive.<\/p>\n

People in the know will tell you foreign policy never matters in elections. They\u2019re wrong. A president\u2019s foreign actions \u2013 especially military \u2013 have an enormous impact on the perception of a president\u2019s strength. President Joe Biden<\/a>\u2019s chaotic pullout of troops from Afghanistan transformed his job approval overnight. It never recovered. In the face of Disruptive Don, Biden had campaigned as Serious Joe. But the results in Afghanistan, where 13 US soldiers died, made many Americans agree with Trump: he was Sleepy.<\/p>\n

In contrast to Biden, Trump seeks to show that his creative disruption is yielding dividends for the U.S. The likely political impact will be measured more by the actual outcome \u2013 in the near future rather than today\u2019s polling that suggests voter skepticism.<\/p>\n

LIZ PEEK: IRAN WAR COULD BECOME THE ACHIEVEMENT THAT ENSURES TRUMP\u2019S LEGACY<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s disruption seems to have worked in Venezuela, where the U.S. military removed a dictator and where the government seems \u2013 for the first time in over a quarter century \u2013 to be acting in a friendly manner with the U.S.<\/p>\n

At the end of February, consistent with his persona, Trump again rolled the dice \u2013 killing the top leadership of Iran \u2013 a country that for almost half a century has embarrassed and threatened the U.S \u2013 arguably destroying Jimmy Carter\u2019s presidency and delivering black eyes to the two most popular presidents of the last 50 years \u2013 Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama<\/a>.<\/p>\n

In Iran, Trump faces an adversary that over 60% of American voters think poses a real threat to the U.S.\u00a0That\u2019s according to the recent Fox News poll (taken after the bombing began on Saturday, February 28). Voters disagree over whether Trump\u2019s actions are correct: More than 80% of Republicans<\/a> think they\u2019re correct, and a similar eight in 10 Democrats oppose them. But what\u2019s going to matter is whether he gets a clear “win” \u2013 as in Venezuela \u2013 or not.<\/p>\n

HOUSE GOP’S RAZOR-THIN MAJORITY THREATENS TO GRIND TRUMP’S CAPITOL HILL AGENDA TO HALT<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

The recent results are clearly mixed: oil prices have skyrocketed<\/a> and Iran seems to have successfully closed the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, the bombing continues causing significant damage both to Iran\u2019s infrastructure and to the leadership of the country.<\/p>\n

Military analysts disagree on whether that aerial damage will cause them to “cry uncle” and curtail Iran\u2019s ability to continue to cause asymmetric damage to the oil-producing Arab states and the global economy. Political analysts \u2013 however \u2013 should admit that it\u2019s a clear known-unknown. The reality of Iran \u2013 as American see it in the fall \u2013 will have a major impact on voters\u2019 partisan conclusions in November.<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE FOR MORE FOX NEWS OPINION<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

And 90 miles off the coast of the U.S., Cuba<\/a> remains as it has for almost 70 years \u2013 as an island of opposition and bane of the policies of every U.S. President since Dwight Eisenhower. The loss of the Venezuelan oil that kept their economy afloat, is putting significant pressure on the government.<\/p>\n

Marco Rubio<\/a> \u2013 the son of Cuban refugees, is secretary of State. And the Cuban government has seen Trump\u2019s ability to roll the dice, as he did with Venezuela and Iran. Already there are signs that the Cubans are “whispering uncle.” Cuba\u2019s deputy prime minister, Oscar P\u00e9rez-Oliva Fraga, told NBC News that “Cuba is open to having a fluid commercial relationship with U.S. companies, also with Cubans residing in the United States and their descendants.”<\/p>\n

I\u2019m not making a military prediction of how any of those three disruptions will be seen in eight months. But their outcome will likely decisively define Trump\u2019s disruptive presidency<\/a>.<\/p>\n

And if you want an idea of who\u2019s going to win in the midterms \u2013 it\u2019s those known-unknowns that will decide it, not Trump\u2019s current dismal poll results.<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM ARNON MISKIN<\/u><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/blue-tsunami-predictions-november-election-might-not-make-landfall <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

To read much political analysis, the results of the November midterm election are already set. 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