{"id":114152,"date":"2025-12-18T06:19:39","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T11:19:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/can-maduro-survive-as-trumps-oil-pressure-campaign-hits-his-regimes-weak-spot-114152"},"modified":"2025-12-18T06:19:39","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T11:19:39","slug":"can-maduro-survive-as-trumps-oil-pressure-campaign-hits-his-regimes-weak-spot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cablemanpro.com\/wallstreetpr\/can-maduro-survive-as-trumps-oil-pressure-campaign-hits-his-regimes-weak-spot-114152","title":{"rendered":"Can Maduro survive as Trump’s oil pressure campaign hits his regime\u2019s weak spot?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

For years, Venezuelan dictator Nicol\u00e1s Maduro has defied predictions of collapse. Sanctions, diplomatic isolation and internal unrest have failed to unseat him. But the latest escalation by the Trump administration \u2014 including the seizure of a Venezuelan crude tanker and the enforcement of a blockade<\/a> on sanctioned vessels \u2014 has hit the regime where it is most vulnerable: its oil trade.<\/p>\n

Melissa Ford Maldonado, director of the Western Hemisphere Initiative at the America First Policy Institute, told Fox News Digital that while the timeline and outcome remain uncertain, the regime\u2019s dependence on oil leaves it uniquely vulnerable. “One thing is clear: the Maduro regime can\u2019t sustain itself without oil revenue,” she said.<\/p>\n

While the U.S. move has raised concerns among European allies<\/a>, who warned that the escalation could undermine regional stability and complicate efforts toward a political resolution in Venezuela, Ford Maldonado says the administration\u2019s approach is striking at the core of Maduro\u2019s power.<\/p>\n

“What we\u2019re seeing now with President Trump\u2019s order for a total blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving Venezuela is a direct hit against Maduro\u2019s revenue streams,” she said. “He needs the oil money from these tankers to buy loyalty and pay off generals, cartel partners and political enforcers to stay in power. That pipeline is finally being cut.”<\/p>\n

MADURO SINGS, DANCES AND THREATENS TO ‘SMASH THE TEETH’ OF THE ‘NORTH AMERICAN EMPIRE’<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

According to Reuters, up to 11 million barrels of Venezuelan crude are currently stranded aboard 39 tankers anchored offshore.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Jorge Jraissati, president of the Economic Inclusion Group, said the recent U.S. actions “fundamentally change the economics of Venezuela\u2019s oil exports.<\/p>\n

“That oil is neither sold nor paid for,” Jraissati said. “Until those cargoes move, they generate no cash flow for PDVSA and deepen Maduro\u2019s liquidity strain.” PDVSA <\/strong><\/i>is Venezuela’s state-run oil company.<\/p>\n

Venezuela is one of the most oil-dependent countries<\/a> on earth. Oil accounts for more than 80% of exports and roughly 90% of government revenue, leaving the nation extraordinarily exposed when crude shipments falter.<\/p>\n

“After years of economic collapse as a result of Venezuela\u2019s socialist policies, virtually all other sectors of the economy are bankrupted,” Jraissati noted.<\/p>\n

U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil have been in place since 2019, but enforcement often lagged, and PDVSA continued to move crude through intermediaries and opaque trading networks, mainly toward Asia. The recent tanker seizure<\/a> appears to have changed that dynamic.<\/p>\n

The Trump administration said the seized vessel was headed for Cuba, but Jraissati argued China was the more likely destination. “Tankers of that size are typically deployed on long-haul routes, and China accounts for roughly 60% percent of Venezuela\u2019s oil exports,” he said.<\/p>\n

Not only has crude become harder to sell, it has become cheaper. Venezuelan heavy crude is trading at discounts of up to $21 per barrel below Brent, according to sources cited by Jraissati and confirmed by Reuters reporting.<\/p>\n

US AND UKRAINE TARGET 1,000-VESSEL ‘DARK FLEET’ SMUGGLING SANCTIONED OIL WORLDWIDE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

“The seizure is already reshaping Venezuela\u2019s oil trade,” he said. “PDVSA is facing stuck cargoes, rising price discounts and new demands from buyers to renegotiate spot contracts.”<\/p>\n

Oil tankers, with cargoes worth tens of millions of dollars, now face heightened risk if they enter Venezuelan waters. This has sent buyers and shipowners scrambling for insurance and new terms.<\/p>\n

“In general terms, this is a game-changing policy because it fundamentally alters the economics of exporting oil from Venezuela,” Jraissati said. “Exports will not stop, but the conditions under which they are sold will deteriorate sharply. It will weaken Maduro\u2019s cash flow.”<\/p>\n

EXPERT REVEALS WHAT IT WOULD TAKE FOR TRUMP TO DEPLOY TROOPS TO VENEZUELA: \u2018POSSIBILITY OF ESCALATION\u2019<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

For years, Venezuela has used a “shadow” or “dark” fleet<\/a> \u2014 vessels that turn off tracking systems, swap names and switch flags \u2014 to move crude around sanctions. Jraissati said this network of ships tries to obscure ownership through shell companies and frequent reflagging.<\/p>\n

Even these workarounds are under strain as insurers and ports become wary of vessels linked to Venezuelan crude.<\/p>\n

MADURO TRAPPED WITH FEW RETALIATION OPTIONS AFTER TRUMP ADMIN SEIZES VENEZUELAN OIL TANKER<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Jraissati painted a grim picture of Venezuelan society already unraveling<\/a> under economic collapse.<\/p>\n

“80% of people in Venezuela are in poverty,” he said. “50% are in extreme poverty, meaning they don\u2019t make even $3 a day.”<\/p>\n

He added that more than 30% of the population \u2014 around 8 million people \u2014 have left the country amid the ongoing crisis.<\/p>\n

Jraissati cautioned that oil pressure alone will not topple Maduro, but described the current combination of sanctions, seizures and diplomatic isolation as unprecedented.<\/p>\n

“This needs to be seen as a combination of actions<\/a>. Oil pressure alone is not enough. Diplomatic pressure alone is not enough. But when all of these are combined, there is a much greater possibility of Maduro actually falling,” he said.<\/p>\n

Cale Brown, chair of Polaris National Security and a former State Department principal deputy spokesperson, said authoritarian regimes often endure sanctions by shifting into illicit revenue streams<\/a>.<\/p>\n

US SET TO SEIZE TENS OF MILLIONS IN VENEZUELAN OIL AFTER TANKER INTERCEPTION, WHITE HOUSE SAYS<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

“Regimes like Maduro\u2019s display little concern about the impact of sanctions on their own people, and when traditional sources of income dry up, they seek other lifelines, as Maduro has with narcotics and other forms of illicit finance,” Brown said.<\/p>\n

Still, Brown said Washington\u2019s strategy reflects broader security concerns<\/a>, drug and human trafficking and hostile foreign influence in the Western Hemisphere.<\/p>\n

“President Trump is right to identify Venezuela as ground zero for many of the problems we are concerned with in the Western Hemisphere,” Brown said.<\/p>\n

Maduro has survived sanctions, protests and isolation before. But analysts say the current oil crackdown directly threatens the regime\u2019s ability to pay security forces, maintain patronage networks and keep the state functioning.<\/p>\n

“It\u2019s very important that we continue to emphasize that Venezuela\u2019s oil does not belong to Maduro or his cronies,” Ford Maldonado said, “It belongs to the Venezuelan people who made their choices clear at the ballot box last year and have been robbed blind by the regime which continues to enrich itself and hijack the country\u2019s primary economic lifeline to stay in power. Cutting off that cash is the fastest way to weaken the regime, and weakening the regime helps the Venezuelan people!”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Source – https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/world\/can-maduro-survive-trumps-oil-pressure-campaign-hits-his-regimes-weak-spot <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For years, Venezuelan dictator Nicol\u00e1s Maduro has defied predictions of collapse. Sanctions, diplomatic isolation and internal unrest have failed to unseat him. 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